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Tomorrow’s Tape: GDP, ISM, QED

Economics:

  • 8:30 a.m.: Go ahead and brace yourself, we get the government’s first guesstimate ofsecond-quarter GDP, and it probably won’t be pretty. Macroeconomic Advisers’ latest read on this is 1.3%, which is a good bit lower than the 1.8% Wall Street expects. Who will be right? None of us, that’s who.
  • 8:30 a.m.: We also get the second-quarter employment cost index, which nobody will notice. Remember when everybody was worried about inflation?
  • 9:45 a.m.: We get the Chicago ISM report; people who pay a fee get it a few minutes early. This report was surprisingly strong in June, getting everybody briefly jazzed about the economy. Will it hold up?
  • 9:55 a.m.: The University of Michigan releases its final consumer sentiment reading for July. A slight improvement, from “forlorn” to “downcast,” is expected.

Earnings: We get reports from:

  • Newmont Mining
  • Arch Coal
  • Weyerhaeuser
  • American Electric Power
  • Calpine
  • Aon
  • Coventry Health
  • Merck
  • ITT
  • Chevron
  • Amgen

FedSpeak:

  • 3:15 p.m.: Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart does some jawing about monetary policy.

Other:

  • Something involving debt and/or politics in the US and/or Europe will freak everybody out/make everybody optimistic. We’re going to just start writing our market reports like Mad Libs.

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